Win some, lose some | THE BAINBRIDGE BLAB
Published 9:52 pm Tuesday, November 3, 2015
Following newsroom tradition at the Bainbridge Review, editor Brian Kelly pulled out his white-erase board an hour before polls closed to mark out his predictions for the 2015 General Election.
The result? Win some, lose some.
Kelly predicted Proposition 1 would be defeated 74 percent to 23 percent. [Don’t ask about the math; he’s a journalist.]
On that, he was right: early returns had Prop. 1 falling by 74 percent.
The big miss of the night, prediction-wise, was Kelly’s prognostication on the Ron Peltier-Pegeen Mulhern race for the Bainbridge Island City Council.
Kelly said he expected a tight race, with Mulhern edging Peltier, 50 percent to 48.4 percent.
Wrong. Peltier tallied 54 percent, while Mulhern came in at 45 percent.
Kelly said he put much stock in Mulhern’s extensive doorbelling efforts and her targeting of voters through voter lists and phone calls. That said, Kelly acknowledged that Peltier would have greater support from environmentally aware islanders.
The difference?
“I guess I underestimated the power of an editorial endorsement from the Review,” Kelly joked. (The Review had endorsed Peltier in the race.)
Kelly picked the winners in the three other contested Bainbridge races, but only one prediction came close to the numbers on his white board. He picked the Lynn Smith-Duncan Macfarlane school board race to finish at Smith, 66 percent, and Macfarlane, 33.
The initial tally was Smith 69 percent, Macfarlane 30.
