‘Gangsterism’ or ‘Progress’? Examining North Korea’s Latest Statement on Denuclearization | Mel Gurtov

Most U.S. news reports are suggesting that the North Koreans may be backtracking on their commitment to denuclearization, calling the U.S. position “gangster-like” following the visit of Secretary of State Mike Pompeo to Pyongyang.

What the North Korean foreign ministry actually said in its statement of July 7 is far more nuanced, and speaks directly to the longstanding differences between Pyongyang and Washington.

I urge readers to judge for themselves whether or not it is a rational, reasoned statement — and then consider Pompeo’s assessment of progress in the talks with the North Koreans.

Here are my brief assessments:

• The North Koreans believe Trump promised “a new way” to deal with U.S.-DPRK relations and denuclearization, namely, step by step. Their view is clear: denuclearization comes last, not first — a longstanding position. Instead, Pompeo brought only renewed U.S. insistence on the old U.S. position: CVID (comprehensive, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization).

• In the North Koreans’ mind, the joint U.S.-DPRK statement out of Singapore laid out three priorities (and in this order): creating a “peace regime” on the Korean peninsula, improving relations, and denuclearization. But the U.S. is riveted on the last, they say, and has offered nothing on the other two.

• What does a “peace regime” mean? Some observers think it means terminating the U.S. military presence in and defense obligation to South Korea. But the North Korean statement says otherwise. “Peace regime” means a “declaration of the end of [the Korean] war at an early date” — replacing the armistice with a peace treaty, which “is the first process of reducing tension…” The statement makes no demands about the U.S.-South Korea relationship other than to dismiss as inconsequential Trump’s decision to suspend (not end) the joint exercises that had been scheduled for August.

• The statement emphasizes trust building. That’s the key argument for a phased approach to denuclearization: establish a peace regime to defuse tension and build trust. Only then will the North Koreans feel secure enough to take action — exactly what kind, we still don’t know — on denuclearizing.

And the North Koreans maintain that they have taken a few trust-building actions, listing dismantlement of a test area for a new ICBM engine and discussion of returning the remains of U.S. POWs and MIAs.

To those of us who watch North Korea closely, this picture is not in the least surprising. Kim Jong-un had staked out his notion of the proper timeline for denuclearization months ago, and the North Korean quest for security via normal relations with the U.S. and a peace treaty to end the Korean War is well known.

The Trump-Kim summit was a breakthrough in terms of direct dialogue, but unless the U.S. gets beyond “CVID,” the North Koreans will continue work on nuclear weapons and missiles and the dialogue with Washington will revert to an ugly form.

Mel Gurtov, syndicated by PeaceVoice, is Professor Emeritus of Political Science at Portland State University.

More in Opinion

Trump’s 141st week in office | In cartoons

Our cartoon chronicle of Donald J. Trump in the White House continues… Continue reading

Oddo will look at all sides of an issue | Letter to the editor

To the editor: I’m writing to enthusiastically endorse Anthony Oddo for Position… Continue reading

Do your homework before casting a vote | Letter to the editor

To the editor: It has been wisely suggested by one of the… Continue reading

What Most Of The Impeachment Heroes Have In Common | Dick Polman

Surely I’m not alone in noticing that most of the people fueling… Continue reading

Today’s cartoon for Saturday, Oct. 19

Today’s cartoon is by Arcadio Esquivel, Costa Rica.… Continue reading

Citizens Must Remove Trump From Office | Wim Laven

Familiarize yourself with the hashtag #OutNow, it is refusefacism.org’s message: “In the… Continue reading

Turkey, Syria And Our Ignorant President | John L. Micek

When historians look back, they’ll identify It as the day that the… Continue reading

Today’s cartoon for Friday, Oct. 18

Today’s cartoon is by Kevin Siers, The Charlotte Observer.… Continue reading

Vote to protect the character of the island | Letter to the editor

To the editor: I am deeply concerned about the proposed Suzuki development… Continue reading

Most Read